Game 1:
Winn33 (Axis): 9 med / 36 fig vs Napoleon71 (Allies): 3 med / 16 fig
https://www.daysofwonder.com/memoir44-online/en/battle/?id=89122156
My cards were vastly superior, he had mostly center cards where fewer of his units were, and his dice were slightly below average. I took out his sniper on the first turn which was helpful. Both players sensed thin ice and were hesitant to cross the water.
Game 2:
Winn33 (Allies): 9 med / 34 fig vs Napoleon71 (Axis): 7 med / 29 fig
His cards were much better in this one, he started with General Advance and TFH and I was a bit worried early on, but fortunately his dice percentages were below average again. Winning the armor battle on my left flank was key to victory. The turning point was taking out 5 armor figures with one armor overrun about midway through the game. Unfortunately the replay isn't working.
Result:
Winn33 vs Napoleon71 2-0 games / 18-10 med / 70-45 fig / 4-0 pts
A stressful match with first place on the line, luckily I was able to prevail and can breathe normal again.